31th August Tuesday

FDAX:
Strategy for trading on tuesdays is to enter a low risk trend trade after 3 am, before 10.00 am news event and after 10.00 am

after 3 am same as yesterday after 9.30 am: up move, down move

• 2.35 am short
• 3.10 am LONG
• 5.25 am long
• 6.17 am short
• 9.00 am long

after 9:30 am same moves as after 3.00 am: up move, up move, down move

• 9.46 am long
• 10.00 am LONG
• 10.37 am short
• 11.21 am long
• 2.15 pm short

Crude Oil Trades:

• 2.13 am short
• 5.13 am long
• 7.55 am long
• 9.05 am long
• 10.10 am long
• 11.07 am SHORT
• 2.13 pm short

30th August Monday

FDAX:

Strategy for trading on mondays is to wait for a low risk trend trade entry after 3.30 am and after 9.59 am

after 3 am same as last friday after 9.30 am: down move, up trend (side trend happened)

• 2:56 am SHORT
• 5.14 am long
• 6.02 am short
• 8.30 am long
• 9.20 am short

after 9:30 am: same moves as after 3.00 am: down move, side move

• 9.36 am long
• 10.16 am SHORT
• 10.46 am long
• 1.22 pm short
• 3.09 pm short

Crude Oil: after 9 the a strong move should happen in the direction of the 200 ema (10 min chart)

• 2:56 am short
• 4.22 am short
• 6.53 am short
• 9.02 am SHORT
• 10.16 am short
• 10.46 am long
• 2.52 pm short

Trading Plan: Reversal Setups

Reversal Setups (Trendline breaks on 1 Min instead of 3 Min Charts)

are more profitable if the initial movement in the new direction is very strong

as you can see on attached screenshots, crude oil dropped much quicker after

the pullback.

Conclusion its very unusual that the dax reverses without a trendline break on the 3 min chart, if I am uncertain i might exit but not reverse a position.

Most likely those reversals happen early in the morning or after news events, often in DP Areas

Trading Plan: Timing the 2 or 3 most profitable moves that happen everyday

Market cycles repeat over and over again, so to not get fooled by minor moves that happen and then reverse to the real trends sticking to certain entry times might help.

Over the last 6 month following entry times had been very proftiable for longer trends:

Monday: After 3.30 am and after 9.59 am

Tuesday: After 3.00 am, after 9.30 am and after 10.00 am

Wednesday: After 4.10 am, after 9.00 am and after 10.00 am

Thursday: After 4.00 am, after 8.20 am and after 9.45 am

Friday: After 3.30 am, after 8.30 am and after 9.45 am

Note: If the market already reversed earlier and there is high potential it obviously makes sense to enter earlier but that happens only every 10th day...

Review 4th Week of August

Most profitable moves:

Monday: After 3.30 am and after 9.59 am

Tuesday: After 3.00 am, after 9.30 am and after 10.00 am

Wednesday: After 4.10 am, after 9.00 am and after 10.00 am

Thursday: After 4.00 am, after 8.20 am and after 9.45 am

Friday: After 3.30 am, after 8.30 am and after 9.45 am

Trading Plan: How to trade news events

• Being in 10-20 Min Prior to a News Event
• Enter with stop order at the news release
• After the event with a pullback

Entering after the breakout on a pullback sometimes does not work. Its far more profitable to have a position PRIOR to a news event with a breakeven stop, so you might get 10 points slippage but 9 out of 10 it works well.

About 90% of all explosive moves happen in direction that a small move prior to the news event did, so entering either on a small pullback on that prior move or with a stop market order will put you on the right side of the market. Since I always place a buy and a sell order at the same time either way i will have a position after an explovie move.

Its important to predefine the risk before placing a order, if the risk is too high its very likely that after the news release the price settles down and then a low risk entry in the direction of the breakout is possible.

27th August Friday

FDAX:

Strategy for trading on fridays is to wait till 3.30 am, 8.30 am and after 9.45 am for low risk trend entries.

after 3 am like yesterday after 9.30 am: small down move to DB, up move, down move

• 2.33 am long
• 3.43 am SHORT
• 5.23 am long
• 6.48 am long
• 8.30 am LONG
• 8.49 am short

after 9:30 am same moves as after 3.00 am: up move, down move

• 9.32 am SHORT
• 10.12 am long (reversal)
• 11.03 am long
• 2.30 pm long

Crude Oil Trades:

• 2.54 am short
• 4.26 am short
• 5.22 am long
• 7.54 am short
• 9.00 am short
• 9.58 am SHORT
• 10.09 am long (reversal)
• 11.00 am long
• 1.26 pm long

26th August Thursday

FDAX:
Strategy for trading on thursday is to wait till 4 am, 8.20 am (prior to news) and after 9.45 am for low risk trend entries

after 3 am same as yesterday after 9.30 am: up move, down move, up move (same as last thursday: the opposite of what happened wednesday after 9.30 am: down move, up move, down move)

• 2.38 am long
• 3.07 am short
• 4.22 am SHORT
• 6.00 am long
• 6.38 am short
• 8.23 am LONG

after 9:30 am same moves as after 3.00 am: down move, up move, down move

• 9.48 am short
• 10.32 am long
• 10.53 am short
• 1.56 pm short

Crude Oil Trades:

• 2.08 am short
• 3.13 am long
• 4.06 am long
• 5.41 am long
• 7.26 am short
• 8.30 am long
• 8.46 am short
• 10.08 am LONG
• 11.04 am short
• 2.06 am short

25th August Wednesday

FDAX:
Strategy for trading on wednesday is to wait till 4.10 am (exit after 8.30 am news), after 9.00 am (prior to 10.00 am news) and after 10.30 am for low risk trend entries.

after 3 am same as yesterday after 9.30 am: down move, up move

• 2.04 am long
• 3.26 am long
• 4.33 am SHORT
• 5.21 am short
• (6.34 am long) ignored
• 7.14 am short

after 9.30 am same moves as after 3.00 am: small down move, up move, down move

• 9.45 am short
• 10.57 am LONG
• 1.03 pm long

Crude Oil Trades:

• 2.05 am long
• 3.24 am long
• 5.01 am SHORT
• (6.34 am long) ignored
• 6.56 am short
• 9.01 am long
• 10.33 am short
• 10.57 am LONG
• 1.03 pm long

24th August Tuesday

FDAX:
Strategy for trading on tuesdays is to enter a low risk trend trade after 3 am, before 10.00 am news event and after 10.00 am

after 3 am same as yesterday after 9.30 am: small down move, up move (only small up move happened), down move

• 2.38 am short
• 3.16 am SHORT
• 5.29 am long
• 5.43 am short
• 6.46 am long
• 7.40 am short

after 9:30 am same moves as after 3.00 am: small down move, small up move, down move

• 9.45 am short
• 10.10 am LONG
• 3.35 pm short

Crude Oil Trades:

• 2.13 am short
• 4.18 am long
• 5.32 am short
• 6.55 am long
• 8.13 am short
• 9.09 am long
• 9.47 am short
• 10.09 am LONG
• 1.45 pm short

23th August Monday

FDAX:

Strategy for trading on mondays is to wait for a low risk trend trade entry after 3.30 am and after 9.59 am

after 3 am same as last friday after 9.30 am: small down move, small up move, down move, coppy up trend

• 3:14 am short
• 3.31 am LONG
• 5.12 am short
• 5.48 am long
• 8.23 am short

after 9:30 am: same moves as after 3.00 am: small down move, small up move, down move, up trend

• 9.34 am long
• 10.09 am SHORT
• 10.42 am short
• 1.45 pm long
• 3.24 pm short

Crude Oil: after 9 the a strong move should happen in the direction of the 200 ema (10 min chart)

• 3:15 am short
• 4.17 am long
• 6.27 am long
• 7.50 am long
• 9.03 am SHORT
• 9.38 am long
• 10.01 am short
• 10.40 am short
• 2.06 pm long

Trading Plan: 1 Min Trendline Break & Entry on 30 Sec Charts

Looking at trendline breaks on the 1 Min Chart does usually not indicate a overall trend change

however if the 3 Min Trendline is far away and there is a change for a trade with high Risk/Reward Ratio, it ok to enter (especially after 3 higher swing highs and a huge run up). The first target would be the 3 min Trendline or any other major support level.

The 30 Sec Chart can provide entries with only half the risk than on a 1 min chart. Sometimes the risk on 1 min charts is too high for an entry so looking for entires on the 30 Sec Chart is the key especially if the polygonal moving average is already showing an ongoing trend.

Review 3rd Week of August

20th August Friday

FDAX:

Strategy for fridays is to wait 30 min after 3.00 am and 9.30 before making a trade to get a low risk trend trade entry.

after 3 am like yesterday after 9.30 am: up move, down move

• 3.00 am long
• 3.42 am SHORT
• 5.36 am short
• 8.40 am long

after 9:30 am same moves as after 3.00 am: up move, down move but due to no news events today moves will be not last long = I will not make no trades after 9.30

• 10.07 am SHORT
• 10.49 am short
• 2.12 pm long

Crude Oil Trades:

• 3.00 am long
• 4.38 am SHORT
• 5.26 am short
• 9.12 am long
• 10.06 am SHORT
• 11.05 am short
• 2.00 pm long

19th August Thursday

FDAX:
Strategy for trading on thursday is to wait till 4 am and after 9.45 am for low risk trend entries

after 3 am same as yesterday after 9.30 am: down move,up move (same as last thursday: the opposite of what happened wednesday after 9.30 am: up move, down move, side move, up move)

• 2.45 am long
• 3.24 am short
• 4.27 am LONG
• 6.00 am long
• 8.31 am short

after 9:30 am same moves as after 3.00 am: up move, down move

• 9.50 am SHORT
• 11.36 am short
• 1.27 pm short
• 3.08 pm long

Crude Oil Trades:

• 2.40 am long
• 4.42 am long
• 6.00 am long
• 7.21 am short
• 8.31 am short
• 9.23 am SHORT
• 11.36 am short
• 2.22 am long