Saturday, April 30, 2011
Trading Plan: Waiting for the S&P to reach a price level before entering long
Step one: Identify prior days key levels
Step two: if the distance to the next support area is further away a counter trend is possible
Step three: enter SHORT on a donchian channel break and a rally above the prior 10 min bar down to the support area.
Step four: See if you can reverse at the support area and go long again
Week 17 Stocks LONG, Bonds LONG, Euro LONG, Crude Oil Sideways
FDAX:
Bund:
Euro:
Nasdaq:
Crude Oil:
- Monday: Failed Correction to prior close (and only a minor trend till close)
- Tuesday: Correction to prior close followed by a trend till at least 2.30 pm
- Wednesday: Trend till at least 2.30 pm
- Thursday: Correction to prior close followed by a trend till at least 2.30 pm
- Friday: Correction to prior close followed by a trend till at least 2.30 pm
Bund:
- Monday: Correction to prior close followed by a trend till at least 11.30 am
- Tuesday: Correction to prior close followed by a trend till at least 11.30 am
- Wednesday: no trade
- Thursday: Oops Setup from tuesdays low till above tuesdays high
- Friday: Correction to prior close followed by a trend till at least 11.30 am
Euro:
- Monday: Correction to prior close
- Tuesday: Trend till close
- Wednesday: Trend till close
- Thursday: Failed Correction to prior close, Trend till close
- Friday: Correction to prior close
Nasdaq:
- Monday: Correction to prior closeand trend till mondays opening price
- Tuesday: Trend till 2400
- Wednesday: Correction to prior close followed a Trend till at least 2.30 pm
- Thursday: Correction to prior close
- Friday: Trend till at least 2.30 pm
Crude Oil:
- Monday: Correction to prior close
- Tuesday: Correction to prior close
- Wednesday: Oops Setup from Tuesdays low to Mondays Opening Price
- Thursday: Trend till mondays high
- Friday: Correction to prior close
Friday, April 29, 2011
29th April Friday
Stock Market Indices:
Strategy for trading on fridays is to enter low risk trend trades after 3.00 am, 4.00 am, 6.20 am, 8.30 am (on news days), 9.00 am, 10.00 am, 11.00 am
My plan is to make a short trade from prior close down to thursdays high (7485) and
then to go long till thursdays high (over 7515)
- 3.11 am SHORT
- 4.55 am LONG
- 6.05 am LONG
- 8.39 am SHORT
after 9:30 am: Looking forward to buy nasdaq at 2402 up to prior swing high at 2409
First short down and then long.
- 9.30 am LONG (nasdaq)
- 9.21 am LONG (fdax)
First short down and then long.
- 4.00 am LONG (swiss franc)
- 4.20 am LONG
- 5.20 am SHORT (pound)
- 8.08 am SHORT (canadian dollar)
- 10.06 am LONG
- 11.05 pm SHORT
Commodities (mainly Crude Oil) Trades: Plan is to trade the opening move around 8-9 am and then another trade after 10.30 am. Goal is to only make a trade after the short opening move down to prior close when price either reached 113.40 or 111.69.
- 3.00 am SHORT
- 4.51 am LONG
- 7.11 am LONG
- 8.50 am SHORT
- 11.30 am LONG
Thursday, April 28, 2011
28th April Thursday
Stock Market Indices:
Strategy for trading on thursday is to enter low risk trend trades after 3.00 am, 4.00 am, 5.00 am, 8.00 am, 9.00 am, 10.00 am, 11 am, 1 pm
Plan is to go first short from prior day high (7479) down possible buy areas: 7456 (swing high), 7426 (50%), going long from there the price should go up to at least the opening price or above prior day high. Goal is to get at least 20 points from the down move.
Plan is to go first short from prior day high (7479) down possible buy areas: 7456 (swing high), 7426 (50%), going long from there the price should go up to at least the opening price or above prior day high. Goal is to get at least 20 points from the down move.
- 2.33 am SHORT
- 3.46 am SHORT
- 5.30 am SHORT
- 9.30 am LONG (fdax)
- 10.17 am SHORT (nasdaq)
- 10.46 am LONG (nasdaq)
- 11.37 am SHORT (nasdaq)
- 1.44 pm LONG (nasdaq)
- 2.36 am SHORT (pound)
- 3.08 am SHORT (pound)
- 6.10 am SHORT
- 9.30 am LONG
- 4.27 am SHORT
- 5.50 am LONG (bund)
- 9.31 am LONG
- 10.30 am LONG (natural gas)
- 10.36 am LONG
- 11.36 am SHORT
- 1.49 pm LONG
Wednesday, April 27, 2011
27th April Wednesday
Stock Market Indices:
Strategy for trading on wednesday is to enter low risk trend trades after 3.00 am, 3.30 am, 4.00 am, 5.00 am, 8.00 am, 9.00 am and 10.30 am.
Plan is to trade a long trend continuation so entry either below prior day close, swing low (7374) or at 50% level (7345)
- 3.17 am SHORT
- 4.32 am LONG
- 8.30 am LONG
after 9.30 am: Plan is to watch the nasdaq go down since S&P already reached its prior day high. Nasdaq long might be possible at 2391 or 2387 or after 12.30 pm fed news. Goal: Get a swing long position below 2391
- 9.47 am LONG (nasdaq)
- 10.01 am SHORT (fdax & nasdaq)
- 11.29 am LONG (fdax)
- 12.37 pm LONG (nasdaq)
- 2.52 pm LONG
- 2.30 am SHORT (pound)
- 4.04 am LONG
- 4.30 am LONG (pound)
- 8.40 am LONG (pound)
- 9.00 am LONG
- 10.10 am SHORT
- 12.34 pm LONG
Commodities (mainly Crude Oil) Trades: Plan is to trade the opening move around 8-9 am and then another trade after 10.30 am. Goal get a swing long postion below 111.53 $
- 2.00 am SHORT
- 4.28 am LONG
- 7.40 am SHORT
- 9.00 am LONG
- 9.56 am SHORT
- 10.59 am LONG
- 1.47 pm LONG
Tuesday, April 26, 2011
26th April Tuesday
Stock Market Indices:
Strategy for trading on tuesdays is to enter low risk trend trades after 3.00 am, 4.00 am, 6.00 am, 9.00 am, 10.00 am
Plan is to go long at a good price (ideally at or below prior days low or in the 7200 - 7262 area)
- 3.00 am LONG
- 3.15 am SHORT
- 3.26 am LONG
- 6.11 am SHORT
- 7.35 am LONG
after 9:30 am: Plan is to go long after 10.00 am after nasdaq or S&P bounced off prior days high.
- 9.30 am SHORT (nasdaq)
- 10.18 am LONG (fdax)
- 10.20 am LONG (nasdaq)
- 12.20 pm SHORT (nasdaq)
- 2.25 am LONG
- 3.26 am LONG
- 5.27 am SHORT (pound)
- 8.07 am LONG
- 10.17 am LONG
Commodities (mainly Crude Oil) Trades: Plan is to trade the opening move around 8-9 am and then another trade after 10.30 am
- 3.12 am LONG
- 6.15 am SHORT
- 7.38 am LONG
- 8.17 am LONG
- 9.05 am SHORT
- 10.16 am LONG
- 11.05 am SHORT
Monday, April 25, 2011
25th April Monday
Stock Market Indices:
Strategy for trading on mondays is to enter low risk trend trades after 2.05 am, 3.00 am, 3.30 am, 4.30 am, 5.00 am, 6.00 am, 8.30 am, 9.30 am, 10.20 am, 3 pm
after 3 am: Plan is to first trade long till fridays high
after 3 am: Plan is to first trade long till fridays high
- 3.30 am LONG
- 7.56 am SHORT
after 9:30 am: Plan is to go short the nasdaq like last monday.
- 9.38 am SHORT (nasdaq)
- 10.06 am SHORT (nasdaq)
- 12.57 pm LONG (nasdaq)
- 2.14 am LONG
- 9.00 am LONG
- 9.37 am SHORT
Commodities (mainly crude oil): Plan is to trade the opening move around 8-9 am and then another trade after 10.30 am
- 4.08 am SHORT
- 7.36 am SHORT (gold)
- 8.10 am LONG
- 9.24 am SHORT
- 11.00 am LONG
- 1.31 pm LONG
Sunday, April 24, 2011
Trading Plan: Combining Momentum Entries and Hourly Pivots
Sometimes its not clear if price breaks above and below a pivot
usually I dont trade long if the pivot is not above the last pivot, however there can be setups (like on the crude oil screenshot) where it makes sense to enter using the traditional method (going long above the 2nd cluster of green bars.
So there are 7 possible entries I use:
- In a trend or in the opening hour, bounce of the pivot line or R1 / S1
- On a bounce of the S1 or S2 at the low of the day
- Break of the pivot line together with a trendline break
- Break above the bars that are green (if there has been within 10 min ago a series of green bars that was higher than the current green bar = tpyical start of a trend = up move, down move and now a lower entry price)
- Stop Buy Order above a Blue Volume Spread Analysis Bar (that is lower than a series of green momentum bars)
- Break below the bars that are red (if there has been within 10 min ago a series of red bars that was lower than the current red bar = tpyical start of a trend = down move, up move and now a higher entry price)
- Stop Sell Order below an Orange Volume Spread Analysis Bar (that is higher than a series of red momentum bars)
- Counter Signal (entry in other direction)
- Long Trade Trailstop below the bar that reached R1, 50% R12, R2
- Short Trade Trailstop above the bar that reached S1, 50% S12, S2
- Long Trade Trailstop below red VSA bar above R2
- Short Trade Trailstop above blue VSA bar below S2
Trading Plan: Opening Move
Trades after 9.30 am either the FDAX or the Nasdaq provide
a better entry:
In the following screenshots, nasdaq had just a scalping chance (bounce of R1)
whereas the fdax had a chance for a trend (trailing stop below the swing lows instead
of exiting at the targets):
Trades after 3 am:
Instead of entering at the break of the pivot point its much more profitable to enter at a reaction on the R1 or S1 line after 3 am.
a better entry:
In the following screenshots, nasdaq had just a scalping chance (bounce of R1)
whereas the fdax had a chance for a trend (trailing stop below the swing lows instead
of exiting at the targets):
Trades after 3 am:
Instead of entering at the break of the pivot point its much more profitable to enter at a reaction on the R1 or S1 line after 3 am.
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