Monday, November 30, 2009

30th November Monday





Goals for today:
  1. Earn at least 40 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 1 min FDAX chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 3 Min Chart.
  2. Earn at least 100 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 1 min CL chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 5 Min Chart.
  3. Earn at least 10 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 5 min ES chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 5 Min Chart.
  4. Don't make anymore trades once the profits are cashed in.
Plan to archive these goals:
Determine trend, entry and exit points, times where I have to make a decision.

On Monday this usually means entering a crude oil trade after 7.30 and reversing or going flat after 9 am to 14 am. On the FDAX entering at the 3 am open and holding till the correction that should start from 6 to 8 am and after 9 am a bullish trend, closing the trade after 10 am, reversing only if Risk Reward Ratio is high.

Profit 240 Points MTP Manual DP System FDAX
Profit 180 Points MTP Manual DP System CL
Profit 7 Points MTP Manual DP System ES
Profit 0 Points Automatic Overbought & Oversold System FDAX

We had a downtrend at the 3 am open, so the long positon soon got stopped out by a valid short entry for a gap fill trade, from then I kept playing the signals. I have to avoid looking at the flux capacitor indicator as a solid system, its just a guide + - 30 minutes it gives good predictions, but using the actual blue and red bars in DP areas is the key to success.

Sunday, November 29, 2009

Preview 1st Week of December

I am looking forward to trade the 3 min Decision Points and will note down my breakeven trades so I know which patterns chanced.

Monday:
Entering a crude oil trade after 7.30 and reversing or going flat after 10 am to 14 am, expecting bullishness after 12.30 am. On the FDAX entering a trade after the open and holding till the correction that happens from 6 to 8 am and then the same direction after 9 am closing the trade after 10 am, reversing to only if overbought/sold. After 2 pm expecting an uptrend.

Tuesday:
Entering a crude oil trade after 1:30 am and holding it till 2:30 am. Expecting another trending move after 9 am that should be closed at double tops or bottoms.
In the FDAX market last week the pattern Sideways Moves in the Morning changed to a bullish trending market till 6 am and a trend after the 8.30 news, that will be reversed around 10 am, so holding till close.

Wednesday:
Waiting for 10.30 news in the crude oil market. On the FDAX a trending move after the 3 am open into a consolidation level then a rally that often is the high of the week and a sell off before and after the US open. Then around 10 am another long but this one is most of the time just a dead cat bounce so expect to exit around 11 am to 12 am.

Thursday:
Expecting a trending market after 1.45 in the crude oil market with another entry point at 9.30 On the FDAX either short or long after the 3 am open tolding till 11 am, same as monday thursdays seam to be the most trending days, but watch out to set the stops correct or make re-entries if there are news that might pause the trend.

Friday:
Expecting the trend from thursday to continue in the Crude Oil market so good entries 1.30 am 5 am 6 am looking for a reverse after 9 am. On the FDAX Bullish in the morning and bearish or pause after 5 am. Then a rally after 9.30 am.

Saturday, November 28, 2009

Trading Plan: When to enter


On news events the stop should be below the swing low, knowing this in advance lets you buy with a limit order just above the swing low for a quick scalp trade up.

If there is a gap, enter with the trend expecting the trend to last till the next DP area.

Friday, November 27, 2009

Review 4th Week of November




27th November Friday





Goals for today:
  1. Earn at least 40 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 1 min FDAX chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 5 Min Chart.
  2. Earn at least 100 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 1 min CL chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 5 Min Chart.
  3. Earn at least 10 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 5 min ES chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 5 Min Chart.
  4. Don't make anymore trades once the profits are cashed in.
Plan to archive these goals:
Determine trend, entry and exit points, times where I have to make a decision.

On Friday this usually means shorting. But since we are already gap down we might see first a bounce up and then another sell to stop the downtrend at a double / tripple or even quadruble bottom. Going long at 3 am till 4:15 to 5 am seams reasonable, then at a hook reversal or double top I am looking forward to go short till at least 7 am.

Profit 180 Points MTP Manual DP System FDAX
Profit 150 Points MTP Manual DP System CL
Profit 22 Points MTP Manual DP System ES
Profit 00 Points Automatic Overbought & Oversold System FDAX

Looking forward to combine swing moves next week, fridays patterns making a decision to go long or short at 7 am then selling upmove after 8:30 going long again the 9.30 open and from then hold till 11 am.

Thursday, November 26, 2009

26th November Thursday Thanksgiving



Goals for today:
  1. Earn at least 40 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on 1 min FDAX chart in a Decision Point Area from the 5 Min Chart.
  2. Earn at least 100 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 1 Min Chart in a Decision Point Area from the 5 Min Chart.
  3. Earn at least 10 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on 5 min ES chart in a Decision Point Area with 2 contracts.
  4. Don't make anymore trades once the profits are cashed in.
Plan to archive these goals:
Determine trend, entry and exit points, times where I have to make a decision.

On Thursday this usually means a trending market at since we broke the lows I am looking for a move down to 5600. (Last time we had a daily double top sell on 26th of october the range was 180 points and because todays open is at 5776 the 5600 target seams reasonalbe).

Profit 180 Points MTP Manual DP System FDAX
Profit 260 Points MTP Manual DP System CL
Profit 7 Points MTP Manual DP System ES
Profit 0 Points Automatic Overbought & Oversold System FDAX

Wednesday, November 25, 2009

25th November Wednesday







Goals for today:
  1. Earn at least 40 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on 1 min FDAX chart in a Decision Point Area from the 5 Min Chart.
  2. Earn at least 100 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 1 Min Chart in a Decision Point Area from the 5 Min Chart.
  3. Earn at least 10 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on 5 min ES chart in a Decision Point Area with 2 contracts.
  4. Don't make anymore trades once the profits are cashed in.
Plan to archive these goals:
Determine trend, entry and exit points, times where I have to make a decision.

On Wednesday this usually means short after the open down to a consolidation level then a rally and a sell off before and after the US open. Then around 10 am another long.

Looking forward to make at least two 10+ point trades in the morning and then two more 10+ points trades till 11 am in the FDAX. In the Crude Oil market looking forward to catch two 40+ points runners.

Profit 50 Points MTP Manual DP System FDAX
Profit 70 Points MTP Manual DP System CL
Profit 0 Points MTP Manual DP System ES
Profit 0 Points Automatic Overbought & Oversold System FDAX

Tuesday, November 24, 2009

24th November Tuesday



Goals for today:
  1. Earn at least 40 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 1 min FDAX chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 3 Min Chart.
  2. Earn at least 100 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 1 min CL chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 5 Min Chart.
  3. Earn at least 10 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 5 min ES chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 5 Min Chart.
  4. Don't make anymore trades once the profits are cashed in.
Plan to archive these goals:
Determine trend, entry and exit points, times where I have to make a decision.

Profit 50 Points MTP Manual DP System FDAX
Profit 100 Points MTP Manual DP System CL
Profit 0 Points MTP Manual DP System ES

Monday, November 23, 2009

23th November Monday









Goals for today:
  1. Earn at least 40 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 1 min FDAX chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 3 Min Chart.
  2. Earn at least 100 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 1 min CL chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 5 Min Chart.
  3. Earn at least 10 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 5 min ES chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 5 Min Chart.
  4. Don't make anymore trades once the profits are cashed in.
Plan to archive these goals:
Determine trend, entry and exit points, times where I have to make a decision.

Profit 138 Points MTP Manual DP System FDAX
Profit 210 Points MTP Manual DP System CL
Profit 6 Points MTP Manual DP System ES
Profit 0 Points Automatic Overbought & Oversold System FDAX

Monday Morning was tricky, so it really pays out trading the 1 Min DPs at the open and not wait for the price to be in a 3 Min DP Area.

Sunday, November 22, 2009

4th Week of November

Like last year we could see a very bullish week
with the typical corrections in the early morning and then crazy americans buying everything. I guess its not wise to trade on Thursday (Thanks Giving) Nevertheless I am expecting to catch at least three runners with each of them 40+ points.

Saturday, November 21, 2009

Review 3rd Week of November


This week was pretty interessting to trade, on monday we had the challenge that the EUREX zenfire feed was broken so I did almost no trades, then on tuesday the typical sideways market. On wednesday the high of the week with a spike up reversal. Thursday a downtrend and early friday morning another big move down.

The problem with trading using the flux capacitor is it does not take into account that prices are oversold/bought or if there gaps in the charts that need to be filled. Other than that it was pretty accurate during this week even though we had a trend chance, but key buying and selling times seam to remain the same. So what I will do in the future see the potential turning points always just as turning or continuation point and not anticipating a trend, as the low risk entry is always inside a 3 Min DP area I will keep on trading all signals.

Over 60 trades this week was pretty intense, I look forward to hold more positions longer with following methology:
  • Monday and Tuesday after Consolidation Trendcontinuation
  • Wednesday after strong move reverse
  • Thursday Trendcontinuation and possible Reverse after 10 am
  • Friday after Correction Trendcontinuation





Friday, November 20, 2009

20th November Friday







Goals for today:
  1. Earn at least 40 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 1 min FDAX chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 5 Min Chart.
  2. Earn at least 100 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 1 min CL chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 5 Min Chart.
  3. Earn at least 10 Points by entering and exiting short and/or long trades on a 5 min ES chart inside a Decision Point Area projected from the highs and lows from the 5 Min Chart.
  4. Don't make anymore trades once the profits are cashed in.
Plan to archive these goals:
Determine trend, entry and exit points, times where I have to make a decision.

On Friday this usually means shorting.

In the morning we will see buying till 4.20 am then maybe a sell off and at the double bottom a short up trend that will be faded so that we can go long again before the 8.30 "news". Then after the 8.30 rally I am looking to go short into the US session, even though there are no news around 10 am today, I will be cautious as the typical volatility could happen as well on options expiration day. After 10 am we should be getting a longer lasting trend, that could reverse around 11.30 to 12.30.

Profit 150 Points MTP Manual DP System FDAX
Profit 205 Points MTP Manual DP System CL
Profit 8 Points MTP Manual DP System ES
Profit 00 Points Automatic Overbought & Oversold System FDAX