Thursday, March 31, 2011

31th March Thursday






Stock Market Indices:
Strategy for trading on thursday is to enter low risk trend trades after 3.00 am, 4.00 am, 5.00 am, 8.00 am, 9.00 am, 10.00 am, 11 am, 1 pm

Plan is to go long if we stay above 7053 up till prior day high or 7156
. However if there is a clear sell signal I might make a short trade down to the 7053 level.
  • 3.19 am SHORT (fesx)
  • 3.52 am LONG (fdax)
  • 5.16 am SHORT (fdax)
  • 7.20 am LONG (fdax)
  • 8.30 am SHORT (fdax)
after 9:30: Plan is to enter a long setup after 9.30 am if S&P stays above prior day close,
another option would be to short the market down to the next long entry point (prior close at 1316).

  • 9.34 am LONG (nasdaq & fdax)
  • 10.20 am LONG (nasdaq)
  • 11.21 am SHORT (nasdaq & fdax)
  • 12.45 am LONG (nasdaq)
Currency Trades: I am looking for a move after 3.00 am, 5.00 am, 7.30 am, 8.00 am, 10.00 am, 11.00 am
  • 2.48 am LONG (euro)
  • 5.26 am SHORT (pound)
  • 8.13 am SHORT (euro)
  • 10.21 am LONG (euro)
Commodities (mainly Crude Oil) Trades: I am looking for a move after 4.00 am, 5.00 am, 8.00 am, 9.00 am, 10 am, 11 am and 12.00 pm
  • 1.56 am LONG
  • 4.43 am SHORT (bund)
  • 4.49 am LONG
  • 8.51 am LONG
  • 10.09 am SHORT (bund)
  • 10.30 am SHORT (natural gas)
  • 10.19 am SHORT
  • 11.16 am SHORT (soybeans)
  • 12.00 am LONG

    Wednesday, March 30, 2011

    30th March Wednesday






    Stock Market Indices:
    Strategy for trading on wednesday is to enter low risk trend trades after 3.00 am, 3.30 am, 4.00 am, 5.00 am, 8.00 am, 9.00 am and 10.30 am.

    Plan is to either trade a long trend above prior days close till 7080, 7110
    • 2.45 am LONG
    • 3.31 am LONG
    • 5.05 am LONG
    • 8.04 am SHORT
    after 9.30 am: Plan is watch the 7055 evel on the fdax and 2333, 2328 or prior high (2324) level on the nasdaq for possible long re-entries with 7110 or 2370 target. Otherwise I might just keep the short position.
    • 9.34 am SHORT (nasdaq)
    • 10.45 am LONG (dow)
    • 12.15 am LONG (fdax & nasdaq)
    Currency Trades: I am looking for a move after 3.00 am, 5.00 am, 7.00 am - 8.00 am, 10-11 am
    • 2.19 am LONG (pound)
    • 4.03 am LONG (euro)
    • 5.24 am SHORT (euro)
    • 8.36 am SHORT (euro)
    • 10.44 am LONG (euro)
    Commodities (mainly Crude Oil) Trades: I am looking for moves at 4.00 am, 8.00 am, 9.00 am, 11.00 am, 1.00 pm
    • 3.57 am LONG
    • 4.56 am SHORT
    • 7.50 am LONG (gold)
    • 8.26 am LONG
    • 9.09 am SHORT
    • 11.20 am LONG
    • 12.56 pm SHORT

    Tuesday, March 29, 2011

    29th March Tuesday






    Stock Market Indices:
    Strategy for trading on tuesdays is to enter low risk trend trades after 3.00 am, 4.00 am, 6.00 am, 9.00 am, 10.00 am

    Plan is to watch the 6975 and 7000 level for a short entry. After the short move I look for long entries at the 6915 or 6895 level.
    • 2.28 am LONG (fdax)
    • 3.30 am SHORT (fdax)
    • 4.30 am LONG (fdax)
    • 5.11 am SHORT (fdax)
    • 7.33 am LONG (fdax)
    • 8.39 am SHORT (nasdaq)
    after 9:30 am: Plan is to keep holding the short position and flatten or reverse at 1301 or 1295 (S&P) or 6895 (fdax)
    • 9.41 am SHORT (fdax)
    • 10.01 am LONG (nasdaq)
    • 10.09 am LONG (fdax)
    • 2.00 pm LONG
    Currency Trades: I am looking for moves after 3.00 am, 4.00 am - 5.00 am, 7.00 am, 9.00 am, 11.00 am
    • 3.02 am LONG (euro)
    • 5.00 am SHORT (euro)
    • 8.22 am SHORT (yen)
    • 9.51 am LONG (euro)
    • 11.21 am LONG (euro)
    Commodities (mainly Crude Oil) Trades: I am looking for moves after 4.00 am, 8.00 am - 9 am and 10 am, 11.30 am, 2 pm
    • 3.51 am SHORT
    • 7.45 am LONG
    • 9.07 am LONG
    • 10.14 am LONG
    • 10.40 am LONG (soybeans)
    • 2.00 pm LONG

      Monday, March 28, 2011

      28th March Monday







      Stock Market Indices:
      Strategy for trading on mondays is to enter low risk trend trades after 2.05 am, 3.00 am, 3.30 am, 4.30 am, 5.00 am, 6.00 am, 8.30 am, 9.30 am, 10.20 am

      after 3 am: Plan is to enter a long setup at the 6947 price cluster and to short at the 7000 price cluster.
      • 3.35 am LONG (fdax)
      • 4.50 am SHORT (fdax)
      after 9:30 am: Plan is to go short at the 6990 price cluster (fdax), 1314 (S&P) or a donchian channel break
      • 9.30 am SHORT (nasdaq)
      • 9.46 am LONG (S&P)
      • 11.32 am SHORT (nasdaq)
      Currency Trades: I am looking for moves after 3.00-5.00 am, 8.00, 10 am, 1.30 pm
      • 3.03 am SHORT (pound)
      • 4.26 am SHORT (pound)
      • 8.42 am LONG (euro)
      Commodities (mainly crude oil): I am looking for moves after 2.45 am, 9.00 am, 10.00 am or 11 am, 12.00 pm, 1.30 pm
      • 2.40 am SHORT
      • 7.59 am SHORT
      • 9.02 am SHORT
      • 9.47 am LONG
      • 10.38 am SHORT (corn)
      • 12.48 am SHORT
      • 2.05 pm SHORT

        Sunday, March 27, 2011

        Saturday, March 26, 2011

        Trading Plan: Timed Entries






        Its profitable to just trade upmoves if the price breaks above
        the last 10 min bar on the
        • Bund after 9.40 am (below 144 EMA), Bund SHORT after 10.50 am
        • Euro SHORT after 7.50 am (friday), LONG after 5.00 am, 8.30 am, after 9.40 am,
        • Crude Oil SHORT after 8.40 am (friday) and LONG after 9.00 am (below 144 EMA) and after 10.00 am,
        • FDAX after 3.20 am, 10.00 am
        • Nasdaq after 10.00 am
        Trailstop 1 Tick below/above last 10 min bar. (FDAX / Nasdaq after 20 Min) (Crude Oil after 30 Min). Bund 2 Ticks Below

        Trading Plan: Peak Volume Line



        Euro: 9.40 am long trade and opening trade
        can be used as entries for a trade
        with next peak volume level as target

        Trading Plan: Selling Double Tops




        If you are clear about entry times or price level, there is no need to wait for more confirmation that a trend change will happen.

        Trendline breaks or other indicator type entry signals are often times too late, simply see price stops then sell below a cluster of green bars or buy above a cluster of red bars

        Trading Plan: Best Opening Strategy


        On the BUND Future there is usually 1 good move in the morning,
        so simply buying a 10 minute bar that closed higher and reversing
        to the short side if a 10 minute bar closes below the open.

        Note: Only enter at bars that have increasing volume and use a 16 ticks profittarget and stop.

        Week 12 Stocks & Crude Oil LONG



        Trading Plan: Intermarket Analysis


        after 9.30 am there I look at at the 4 main stock market indicies
        • dow
        • nasdaq
        • s&p 500
        • fdax
        usually I go long on the instruments thats clearly above the 50% line (see screenshot with nasdaq and dow)

        but if the fdax is overbought (above camarilla H4)
        it can be more profitable to short the FDAX as you can see on following screenshot where
        the FDAX trade gave you 100 points with 4 points risk instead of the the S&P trade with just 10 points profit and 1,5 points risk






        Looking at 4 different stock market indicies sometimes
        there is a countertrend / exit signal (break below red or above green) although all other indicies
        continue their long or short trend.

        Nevertheless a counter trend signal on one market signals weakness, so maybe its time to exit the other markets at double tops or bottoms

        Trading Plan: Trend Continuation Trades in the Morning


        Friday, March 25, 2011

        25th March Friday


        Stock Market Indices:
        Strategy for trading on fridays is to enter low risk trend trades after 3.00 am, 4.00 am, 6.20 am, 8.30 am (on news days), 9.00 am, 10.00 am, 11.00 am

        My plan is to make a long trade if we trade above prior days closing price or a correction down till S&P hit prior days high.

        • 3.04 am SHORT
        • 4.56 am LONG (FDAX bounce off prior day close)
        • 6.00 am LONG
        • 6.24 am SHORT
        after 9:30 am: S&P opened above prior day close so a gap fill short trade could be the first trade, then maybe another move up to the 50% level, high or above prior day high. After 10.30 am it should be clear if we continue trading short or high for the rest of the day.
        • 10.31 am LONG (nasdaq)
        • 12.32 pm SHORT (nasdaq)
        Currency Trades: I am looking for a move after 3.00 am, 4.00-5.00 am, 7.40 am, 8.30 am, 10.00 am
        • 4.29 am SHORT (yen)
        • 5.21 am LONG (aussie dollar)
        • 8.00 am LONG (yen)
        • 7.55 am SHORT (euro)
        • 10.10 am LONG (aussie dollar)
        • 12.05 am SHORT (euro)
        Commodities (mainly Crude Oil) Trades: I am looking for moves after 4.20 am, 8.00 am, 9.00 am, 10.00 am, 12.00 am
        • 2.40 am LONG (natural gas)
        • 4.00 am SHORT
        • 5.21 am LONG
        • 8.41 am SHORT
        • 10.53 am LONG
        • 10.36 am SHORT (Wheat)
        • 12.02 am SHORT
        • 1.30 pm LONG

          Thursday, March 24, 2011

          25th March Thursday






          Stock Market Indices:
          Strategy for trading on thursday is to enter low risk trend trades after 3.00 am, 4.00 am, 5.00 am, 8.00 am, 9.00 am, 10.00 am, 11 am

          Plan is to go long if we stay above the 50% line up till prior day high or high + prior range
          .
          • 3.13 am LONG
          • 3.49 am LONG
          • 7.30 am LONG
          • 8.30 am SHORT (s&p)
          after 9:30: Plan is to enter a long setup after 9.30 am if S&P stays above prior day high,
          another way would be to short the market down to the next long entry point (prior close at
          1292).
          • 9.34 am SHORT (s&p)
          • 10.15 am LONG (nasdaq)
          Currency Trades: I am looking for a move after 3.00 am, 5.00 am, 7.30 am, 8.00 am, 10.00 am, 11.00 am
          • 3.06 am LONG (euro)
          • 5.20 am SHORT (pound)
          • 7.20 am LONG (euro)
          • 9.04 am SHORT (pound)
          • 10.28 am LONG (euro)
          Commodities (mainly Crude Oil) Trades: I am looking for a move after 4.00 am, 5.00 am, 8.00 am, 9.00 am, 10 am, 11 am and 12.00 pm
          • 3.45 am LONG
          • 4.40 am LONG
          • 8.13 am SHORT
          • 9.32 am SHORT
          • 10.06 am LONG
          • 11.00 am LONG (wheat)
          • 11.00 am SHORT (natural gas)
          • 12.41 am SHORT